First of all, this is NOT a prediction post. I used to post them for fun in the past, but that's all they were...for fun. I'm not a big fan of predictions because 1) NO ONE knows where the market it going and 2) We are all allowed to change our minds based on the information [...]
On Wednesday night (8/21/13), I sat down at my desk to start my evening stock screening. An UNUSUAL sequence of bearish events occurred: 1) I went to check email and I received 2 separate notes from clients. The first one said: Thank you for protecting my IRA during this correction so far, please continue to [...]
On 5/28/13, I wrote a blog post about how I lightened up my equity exposure. The S&P 500 was at 1660 and proceeded to drop over 60 points. When the S&P 500 found support on its 50-day moving average (around 1600 on 6/6/13), I began to increase my exposure as discussed here. Since then, the [...]
On Tuesday night (5/28/13), I wrote a blog post about how I lightened up my stock positions and reduced my market exposure. At the time, the S&P 500 was at 1660 and proceeded to drop over 60 points into last Thursday (6/6/13). I began to increase my exposure around these levels for the following reasons: [...]
Back on July 22, 2011, I was long 6 stocks. A sharp trader friend of mine looked at the 6 charts and said: "Those are REALLY good setups, if they fail, the market is screwed." Two trading days later, I got stopped out of the 6 stocks and went into 100% cash (I wrote a [...]
It was nice to see some subtle signs of strength in the market today (11/1/12). By no means are we out of the woods, but I did notice a Day 6 Follow Through Day (FTD) on the S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index ($MDY). For those of you not familiar with the FTD concept, I suggest reading [...]
In the fall of 1987, there were 11 days of distribution (heavy volume selling) BEFORE the October 1987 crash. In September 2001, the market was looking horrible, no stocks were setting up, and out of nowhere...9/11 happened. Fast forward to today. In late September/early October the market experienced heavy distribution. I went to 100% cash [...]
During the 2008 financial crisis, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson approached President George W. Bush and said: If we don't do something, this country will experience an economic downturn worse than the Great Depression of the 1930s. President Bush explained that part of his job was to surround himself with [...]