Another Thing Going for the Bulls
In early November, I wrote a blog post discussing four reasons for a year-end rally. They included: 1) The big institutions were coming back into the market because the Fed signaled they are done raising interest rates. 2) Sentiment. Most people are bearish and underinvested. 3) Seasonality. November and December are historically two of the strongest months. 4) Technicals. Two O’Neil follow through days, a Zweig Breath Thrust, and the major indexes regaining their 50-day [...]
Four Reasons for a Year-End Rally
Here are the reasons I am expecting continued strength into the end of the year. 1) The big institutions are back! Since they control the market, it’s important to analyze what they are doing, and they came back last week with strong volume. The main reason was they interpreted the Federal Reserve is done with their current rate-hiking cycle. That doesn’t mean the Fed will cut rates anytime soon, but it does mean stability for [...]
Can history repeat itself 20 years later?
Above, you will find a chart that compares the Nasdaq Composite of 2003 vs. 2023. I was inspired to look into this when I realized the market bottomed on October 10, 2002, and then bottomed recently on October 13, 2022, almost to the EXACT date 20 years later! When I looked into this further, I saw even more similarities, which are numbered below the chart. I realize that history doesn't always repeat itself, but it [...]
The Stock Market Game Changer
This past week, the market sent a loud and clear message that Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a game changer. Many companies are being completely repriced because of the revolution in AI, and when we look back at 2023, many will point to last week as the pivotal moment of the year. Now, before you accuse me of being overly dramatic, please hear me out. Every great market throughout history has been fueled by an invention [...]
Four Reasons I’m Positive on the Market
I’m more positive than most people on the market for the following reasons: 1) Indexes – The big institutions control the market. Therefore, it’s important to learn how to read charts and interpret what they are doing on a consistent basis. Right now, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 are above strong levels of institutional support. When the market pulls back, they are normal pullbacks to logical areas of support. As long as the institutions [...]
Forget the Macro and Focus on Price
The market could be setting up for a tradeable rally over the near-term for the following reasons: 1) 90% of what I use to judge the health of the market is the price action of growth stocks. Focusing on price not only helps to shut out the noise, but it also gives me a clearer picture of what’s truly happening in the market. Right now, there are tons of stocks looking great technically and fundamentally. [...]