2025 Market Preview: Keep Your Expectations Realistic
I posted a 2025 Stock Market Preview Video on January 1 for my Educational Members. It's over 31 minutes long and here is the link to the first 10 minutes of that video. Here is a summary of some of the main points. 1) At the beginning of each year, Wall Street Strategists from the top 20 firms give their S&P 500 target for the upcoming year. They are usually conservative with their targets and [...]
What Happened in the Market Last Week?
Many people are wondering what specifically caused the market to have its best week of the year last week. Of course, there's not only ONE reason, but it could be attributed to a combination of the following: 1) The election is behind us, and that's one less uncertainty for the markets. 2) The perception that Trump will be a business-friendly and market-friendly president. 3) The Fed cutting rates and pumping liquidity into the system, thus [...]
Don’t Mix Your Politics with Your Investing
Prior to the 2016 election, I heard the following phrase about 1,000 times: “If Trump wins, the market is going to crash.” I thought it was such a ridiculous statement that I wrote an article for Yahoo Finance a month before the election saying that he was going to win, and that the market would take off. It was the second most read article on Yahoo Finance that month and I got an INSANE amount [...]
Stock Idea: Rocket Lab USA
A stock that could have decent potential over the next 6-12 months is Rocket Lab USA (Symbol: RKLB). Rocket Lab is an end-to-end space company delivering reliable launch services, spacecraft, satellite components, and on-orbit management. As a global leader in launch and space systems, they are transforming the way we access and use space. A recent Barron's article said "Rocket Lab is quietly emerging as a SpaceX Competitor." Technicals – The stock is working on a [...]
Why Sentiment Changes So Quickly
Earlier in my career, it used to take about 2-3 months for sentiment to change from being bullish to bearish (and vice versa). Now, it feels like it only takes about 2-3 weeks. Here are some reasons why. 1) We have so much information in real-time, especially our account balances. Years ago, people used to get monthly or quarterly statements from their brokerages. Now, everyone has their net worth available on their phones in real-time. [...]
Market Note to Members (7/9/24)
HERE IS THE MARKET NOTE I SENT TO EDUCATIONAL MEMBERS TONIGHT. I tweeted that I reduced my equity exposure today and I received many emails asking me questions. The first main question is “why?” No one ever needs to justify locking in some profits. The simple answer is I’m up nicely to start the quarter and I just wanted to lock in some gains while things are a little extended. Remember, I always discuss knowing [...]