Interview with Mike Webster: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zj_Aw5TnYME
Compound and Friends Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQeievuFPY8
Jim Cramer featuring my research on Mad Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfR3nbnIV98
Topics covered:
1) 0:00 Announcements
2) 0:30 Market Commentary and Index Review (Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Russell 2000)
3) 8:50 FOCUS LIST: NFLX, SPOT, PLTR, GEV, EQT, RKLB, BROS, UBER
4) 13:40 Stock Review – Aerospace/Defense: SHLD (ETF), XAR (ETF), HWM, KTOS, DRS, GE, ASTS, JOBY, ACHR, RDW, ATRO, BKSY
5) 16:30 Stock Review – Software: IGV (ETF), NBIS, ORCL, RBRK, CRWD, CYBR, FTNT, TWLO, CRWV, SNOW
6) 19:30 Stock Review – Semiconductors: SMH (ETF), NVDA, TSM, AVGO, ARM, MU, KLAC, TTMI, CLS, JBL, FN, AMSC, MKSI
7) 22:30 Stock Review – Energy/Data Center related: VST, CEG, VRT, NRG, BE, OKLO, SMR, NNE
8) 23:35 Stock Review – Others/General Ideas/Commentary: IONQ, ARQQ, SHOO, ODD, ATI, TOST, TSLA, TKO, DASH, AXON, HOOD, RBLX, SHAK, CMP, IBIT
9) 27:45 Conclusion/Summary
Market Summary:
We’re still in a power trend because the major indexes are above their key moving averages, there’s very little distribution, and many growth stocks continue to act well. As I’ve mentioned in recent videos, if we continue to see strength into this seasonally strong period (June 27 – July 15), I will look to reduce some of my exposure. I can’t stress this enough: 1) What you should do depends on your timeframe, risk tolerance, and your overall plan. In other words, please don’t copy me or anyone else blindly. Make decisions based on WHAT WORKS FOR YOU. 2) I could be wrong, and this power trend could last into late July or even August. Again, please keep in mind that I’m always talking in terms of probabilities. There are no certainties in the market.
Remember the main guidelines during power trends: 1) Use the 21-day as your guide. In other words, if we are extended from this level, don’t be surprised to see minor pullbacks through price and/or through time. 2) Expose yourself to strong stocks and ETFs. Between the Focus List and the other stocks, there are plenty of ideas in these videos. 3) Get strong entry points near the 21-day and 50-day moving averages. 4) Manage your trades as best as possible based on your timeframe, risk tolerance, and overall investment plan. I can give guidelines, but ultimately, you need to decide what position sizes to use, the number of positions to own, when to take profits, and where to set your stop losses. Thank you and good luck for the remainder of the week.
Unusual Options Activity:
7/9/25 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) buyer of 24,000 July 25th $630/$640 call spreads at $3.08, adjusting the July 11th 615/625 spreads
7/9/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) massive buyer of 7500 Dec 31st (Q) $575 calls at $25.42, over $19M
7/9/25 Energy ETF (XLE) block of 3000 June 2026 $81 puts sell to open $4.18
7/9/25 Semiconductor ETF (SMH) buyer of 1000 Dec $305 calls at $17.33 and sells some $335 calls against it
7/9/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) over 10,000 Sept $65 calls bought midday at $3.65 to $3.80 offers
7/9/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) large buyer of 25,000 August $67/$75 call spreads at $1.10 adjusting the July spreads
7/9/25 Ultrashort Nasdaq ETF (SQQQ) 5000 Aug 1st $18 calls bought $1.59 to $1.74
7/9/25 Brazil ETF (EWZ) buyer 2000 December 2026 $34 calls at $2.28
7/9/25 On Holding (ONON) 11,000 August $42.50 short puts $0.36
7/9/25 On Holding (ONON) 5000 July 25th (W) 55/60 call spreads bought
7/9/25 On Holding (ONON) 500 June 2026 47.50 puts sold 5.05 bids to open
7/9/25 Uber (UBER) buyer of 500 Sept 2026 $90 ITM calls at $22.70 to $22.80
7/9/25 AppLovin (APP) opening sales of 200 Nov $350 puts at $55.60
7/9/25 Netflix (NFLX) massive buyer of 1340 Sept $1280 calls at $85 as July $1140 calls adjust
7/9/25 Home Depot (HD) 500 March $400 calls bought 15.70 as Jan 390 adjust
7/9/25 Norwegian Cruise (NCLH) 2800 Jan 2027 $25 puts sell to open $6.14
7/9/25 Bloom Energy (BE) buyers 3000 August $32 calls in smaller lots up to $2
7/9/25 Bloom Energy (BE) aggressive buyers 2000 August $29 calls $3.70
7/9/25 Bloom Energy (BE) also sees 3000 August $33 calls buy at $2.40
7/9/25 EQT (EQT) opening sale 19,000 Sept $45 puts 0.62
7/9/25 Schlumberger (SLB) buyer 10,000 Nov $42.50 calls $0.91 to $0.95
7/9/25 SM Energy (SM) 5000 August $25 calls buy $3.30 to $3.90
7/9/25 Visa (V) 350 Jan 2027 $300 short puts open $15.50
7/9/25 MicroStrategy (MSTR) buyers 2000 July 25th (W) $430 calls for $1.3M
7/9/25 Coinbase (COIN) weekly 355/382.5 call spreads adjust to next week 387.5/422.5 7000X
7/9/25 Gilead Sciences (GILD) buyers of 5000 August $120 calls buy at $1.38 to $1.45
7/9/25 Summit Therapeutics (SMMT) buyer 900 August $32 calls 1.25 as the Aug 27 close 7000X
7/9/25 FTAI Aviation (FTAI) large spreads selling August $95 puts to buy $120/$135 call spreads
7/9/25 Cloudflare (NET) 500 Sept $180 puts sell to open $11.80
7/9/25 Nvidia (NVDA) 2000 June 2027 $105 puts selling to open $9.10
7/9/25 Nvidia (NVDA) March 160/185 call spreads bought 5000X
7/9/25 Microsoft (MSFT) spread sells 1350 Oct $455 puts 6.70 and buys 900 of the $550 calls $ 6.65
7/9/25 Meta (META) size buy 2000 Aug 8th (W) $720 calls $39.50
7/9/25 Meta (META) 2800 August $735 calls bought at $36.80 aggressive offers
7/9/25 Meta (META) buyer of 450 Nov $790 calls at $42.95 and sells the $700 puts at $41 in bull risk reversals
7/9/25 Google (GOOGL) Dec 215 calls bought 2340X at 4.38
7/9/25 Google (GOOGL) seeing 2700 August 1st $180/$200 call spreads buy at $5.33
7/9/25 Google (GOOGL) 8600 Sept 1280 calls bought as July adjust
7/9/25 Google (GOOG) buyer 1000 Sept $175 calls $12.55
7/9/25 Reddit (RDDT) buyer 2000 Jan $180 calls $17.20
7/9/25 Celestica (CLS) sees 540 August $170 calls buy at $11.70 offers
7/9/25 Advanced Micro (AMD) 1000 Aug 8th (W) $148 calls bought 4.62
7/9/25 Arm Holdings (ARM) buyer 1000 October $150 calls $16.59
7/9/25 Arm Holdings (ARM) also buyer 500 March $150 calls 27.80 offers
7/9/25 HP Enterprise (HPE) 2100 Sept $21 puts sell to open 1.40
7/9/25 Broadcom (AVGO) 5000 Oct $240 calls buy $49.45
7/9/25 MKS Instruments (MKSI) very unusual midday jump as 1500 July $105 calls bought $3.10 to $3.90
7/9/25 Vistra (VST) seeing 1500 Nov $130 and 1000 Dec $125 short puts open
7/9/25 Oklo (OKLO) 1000 January $55 puts selling near $15
7/9/25 Nano Nuclear (NNE) 775 Dec $34 high Delta puts sell to open 8.70 bids
7/8/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) buyers of 2100 August 29th $69 calls at $1.66 to $1.70 offer sweeps
7/8/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) with 4500 August $61 calls buy at $3.55 as $65 calls adjust
7/8/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) also 3000 June 2026 $70 calls bought $9.25 to $9.35
7/8/25 Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) buyers 2550 Aug. 1st (W) $226 calls up to $3.10 offers
7/8/25 Gold Miners ETF (GDX) buyers of 9700 August $53 calls at $1.96 as July $52 calls adjust
7/8/25 Japan ETF (EWJ) buyer 5000 Sept $77 calls $1
7/8/25 Financial Bull 3X ETF (FAS) sees 1600 August $185 calls buying $4.90
7/8/25 Abercrombie (ANF) 7925 August $70 short puts open 0.70 to 0.65
7/8/25 Walmart (WMT) 5250 Aug 22nd (W) $89 short puts open 0.84
7/8/25 Nike (NKE) buyer 3050 Oct 80 calls for $3.08
7/8/25 Lululemon (LULU) August $140 calls 1750X with buyers near 11.25
7/8/25 Cava Group (CAVA) sees 7350 August $65 puts sell to open $0.59
7/8/25 AppLovin (APP) opening sale of 290 Jan 2027 $250 puts at $52.20
7/8/25 AppLovin (APP) 195 June 2027 $250 puts sell to open 61.80 bids
7/8/25 Shopify (SHOP) July 25th (W) $113 calls bought 2000X with many spread against the $118 calls
7/8/25 Valero (VLO) 4500 Sept $165 calls are sold to open 2.10 to 2.05
7/8/25 Exxon (XOM) buyer of 1330 Aug 8th $111 calls at $5.05 as July 25th calls adjust
7/8/25 Schwab (SCHW) 1900 Sept $97.50 calls bought $2.16 to $2.27
7/8/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) 2000 July 25th (W) $90 short puts opening 4.65 bids
7/8/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) sees 1100 Jan $80 puts sell at $10.80
7/8/25 Mastercard (MA) 250 March 2026 $520 puts sold 21.65 to open
7/8/25 Circle (CRCL) 200 Sept $165 puts sold to open 15.20
7/8/25 Boston Scientific (BSX) 10,000 Sept $110 calls sell to open $1.68 to $1.55 bids
7/8/25 Tempus AI (TEM) with 1500 Oct $45 puts sell to open $3.47
7/8/25 Rocket Lab (RKLB) 1200 Jan $25 puts sell to open 2.53 bid
7/8/25 Joby Aviation (JOBY) 3000 Jan $13/$10 bull risk reversals open at 0.20 debits
7/8/25 Cameco (CCJ) 7000 Sept $55 short puts opening $0.68
7/8/25 Applied Materials (AMAT) buyers of 400 Jan 2027 $250 calls at $18.10
7/8/25 Nvidia (NVDA) 3000 Aug 8th (W) $155 puts sold to open 4.69
7/8/25 Nvidia (NVDA) seeing over 8500 August 8th $160 calls buy at $6.40 to $6.50 in large lots
7/8/25 CoreWeave (CRWV) block 600 August 8th (W) $155 puts sold to open 25.40
7/8/25 Meta (META) buyers 2300 July 25th (W) $720 calls for $4M
7/8/25 Reddit (RDDT) 200 Sept $150 puts sell to open 18.50
7/8/25 Unity Software (U) 1350 Oct $25 short puts open 2.46 as strength continues
7/8/25 Palantir (PLTR) buyers of 10,000 July 25th $140 calls at $4.95 to $5.05 in large lots
7/8/25 Google (GOOGL) opening sale 1000 August 8th (W) $175 puts 7.21
7/8/25 Google (GOOGL) 1000 Feb $140 puts sold 4.33
7/8/25 Google (GOOG) buyer 1000 Sept 2026 $200 calls for $18.10
7/8/25 CrowdStrike (CRWD) 400 Sept $490 puts sell to open 31.85
7/8/25 TI (TXN) with 5000 June 2026 $260 calls selling to open 10.60
7/8/25 Zscaler (ZS) opening seller 400 March $390 calls 20.80 bid
7/8/25 Arista Networks (ANET) with sweep buyers 1900 August $110 calls 4.70 offer
7/8/25 Nebius Group (NBIS) 500 Sept $44 short puts open 4.85 and 500 Sept 2026 $38 short puts open $9.80
7/8/25 Nebius Group (NBIS) also with 1250 Sept 2026 $25 puts sold to open $4.00 to $3.90
7/8/25 AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) large stock replacements buying 1800 March $80 calls at $6.10 to $6.13
7/7/25 Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) sees 4000 Aug 1st $224 calls bought $3.57 to $3.65
7/7/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) 1700 Jan $630 calls sold to open $6.95
7/7/25 Ark Innovation ETF (ARKK) buyer of 10,000 Sept $70 calls at $5.60 adjusting the July $57 calls
7/7/25 Uranium ETF (URA) opening sales of 1750 June 2026 $40 calls at $5.01 to $4.91
7/7/25 Silver ETF (SLV) opening sales of 3000 January $34.50 calls at $2.39
7/7/25 Gold ETF (GLD) opening sales 1000 Sept 30th $322 calls at $4.20 bids
7/7/25 Oil & Gas ETF (XOP) trade opens 1000 June 2026 130/100 bull risk reversals for $10.35
7/7/25 On Holding (ONON) 10,600 August $42.50 puts sold to open $0.31
7/7/25 Roblox (RBLX) with 1000 Sept $110 ITM puts sell to open $11.72
7/7/25 Roblox (RBLX) also 5000 July 25th (W) 111/117 call spreads bought
7/7/25 Costco (COST) buyer 100 Jan $1010 calls this morning 63.07
7/7/25 QuantumScape (QS) with 4000 Jan $13 calls buying $0.64 offers
7/7/25 Walmart (WMT) opening sales of 8250 Aug 22nd $88 puts at $0.79
7/7/25 Expedia (EXPE) buyer 1000 August $200/$210 call spreads
7/7/25 AppLovin (APP) 700 Sept $280 puts sold 16.50 bid
7/7/25 Airbnb (ABNB) buyer 2610 Sept $135 calls $10.80 as July $120 adjust
7/7/25 Bloom Energy (BE) 5000 Nov $30 calls bought 2.65 to 2.70 as Aug. 25 adjust
7/7/25 Circle (CRCL) buyers 800 August $250 calls 12.60 offer
7/7/25 Bank America (BAC) 4850 Feb $47 puts sell to open 2.71
7/7/25 Bank America (BAC) buyer of 1300 Oct $40 ITM calls at $9.50
7/7/25 MicroStrategy (MSTR) massive adjustment buys 36,500 August $390 calls at $34.89 as July $370 calls adjust
7/7/25 Citigroup (C) 10,000 August $90 calls bought as Sep. 82.50 adjust 5000
7/7/25 Shift4 Payments (FOUR) buyers of 400 Jan $100 calls at $14.80 and buyers of 700 Jan $110 calls at $10.50 to $10.80
7/7/25 Eli Lilly (LLY) 1200 August $630 puts sold 5.25 bid
7/7/25 Zevra Therapeutics (ZVRA) nearly 2000 August $10 calls being bought $0.95 to $1.45
7/7/25 Merck (MRK) size opening sale 1500 Sept 2026 $85 calls $9.01
7/7/25 GE Vernova (GEV) 1700 August $400 puts sell to open $3.30
7/7/25 GE Vernova (GEV) also 600 August $540 calls buy at $28.30 to $29.60, adjusting July $500 calls
7/7/25 3M (MMM) buyer 1200 August $155 calls $6.55 as July 150 adjust out and up
7/7/25 GE Aerospace (GE) buyer 1500 August $260 calls $7.30 as July $250 adjust out and up
7/7/25 TransDigm Group (TDG) seeing 260 August $1580 calls bought as July calls adjust
7/7/25 Vertiv (VRT) 1150 August $120 puts sell to open 7.31
7/7/25 Amazon (AMZN) seeing massive buyers of 25,000 August $240/$260 call spreads at $3.28
7/7/25 Amazon (AMZN) size buy in July 25th (W) $220 calls 8500X at 7.45
7/7/25 Google (GOOG) buyers of 1200 Sept 2026 $200 calls at $19.15
7/7/25 Google (GOOGL) buyer 1000 Jan 2027 $280 OTM calls for 6.15
7/7/25 Nvidia 2X ETF (NVDL) 3000 July 25th (W) $72 puts sell to open 4.67 to 4.65
7/7/25 Taiwan Semi (TSM) 1600 August $240 ITM puts sell to open $17
7/7/25 Cloudflare (NET) 200 Jan 2027 $165 calls bought ITM $65.95 to $66
7/7/25 Seagate (STX) 750 January $195 calls bought $5
7/7/25 Meta (META) large roll of 2500 Sept $725 calls buying at $46.15 as July $660 calls adjust out
7/7/25 Dell (DELL) opening sale of 1000 June 2026 $140 calls at $16.30
7/7/25 Vistra (VST) 3000 Nov $115 puts sell to open 2.25 to 2.20
7/7/25 Advanced Micro (AMD) buyers of 1000 Aug 8th $125 ITM calls at $14.30
7/7/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) sees opening sales of 1500 Jan 2027 $56 puts at $10.15 bids
7/7/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) buyers of 6000 June 2026 $62 calls at $12.50 and some seem to be spreading vs sales of the $105 calls at $3.22
7/7/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) massive buyer of 15,000 August 29th $55 bull synthetics at $6.83 debits, strong bull delta lean ITM