Interview with Mike Webster: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zj_Aw5TnYME
Compound and Friends Podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cQeievuFPY8
Jim Cramer featuring my research on Mad Money: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SfR3nbnIV98
Topics covered:
1) 0:00 Announcements
2) 1:05 Market Commentary and Index Review (Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Russell 2000)
3) 5:35 EDUCATIONAL SEGMENT ON POWER TRENDS
4) 18:15 FOCUS LIST: NFLX, SPOT, PLTR, GEV, EQT, RKLB, BROS, UBER
5) 24:05 Stock Review – Aerospace/Defense: SHLD (ETF), XAR (ETF), HWM, KTOS, DRS, GE, ASTS, JOBY, ACHR, RDW, ATRO, BKSY
6) 26:40 Stock Review – Software: IGV (ETF), NBIS, ORCL, RBRK, CRWD, CYBR, FTNT, TWLO, CRWV, SNOW
7) 30:30 Stock Review – Semiconductors: SMH (ETF), NVDA, TSM, AVGO, ARM, MU, KLAC, TTMI, CLS, JBL, FN, AMSC
8) 34:45 Stock Review – Energy/Data Center related: VST, CEG, VRT, NRG, BE, OKLO, SMR, NNE
9) 36:15 Stock Review – Others/General Ideas/Commentary: IONQ, SHOO, ODD, ATI, TEM, SFM, TOST, TSLA, TKO, BSX, DASH, AXON, HOOD, RBLX, SHAK, CMP, IBIT
10) 46:15 Conclusion/Summary
Market Summary:
We’re still in a power trend because the major indexes are above their key moving averages, there’s very little distribution, and many growth stocks continue to act well. In this video, I remind members to “use the 21-day as your guide.” It is not only useful to get better entry points, but it is also helpful when we see pullbacks in growth stocks, like the one we saw on Tuesday, July 1. In the future, when this happens during a power trend, you can just look at where we are relative to the 21-day to help explain some of the market’s normal movements and to help keep you calm. Also, I put together a segment in this video to give recent examples of power trends and how long we can expect them to last. As always, I will take this day-by-day and do my best to keep things simple.
Remember the main guidelines during power trends: 1) Use the 21-day as your guide. In other words, if we are extended from this level, don’t be surprised to see minor pullbacks through price and/or through time. 2) Expose yourself to strong stocks and ETFs. Between the Focus List and the other stocks, there are plenty of ideas in these videos. 3) Get strong entry points near the 21-day and 50-day moving averages. 4) Manage your trades as best as possible based on your timeframe, risk tolerance, and overall investment plan. I can give guidelines, but ultimately, you need to decide what position sizes to use, the number of positions to own, when to take profits, and where to set your stop losses. Thank you and enjoy the rest of your weekend.
Unusual Options Activity:
7/3/25 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) large lots buying 20,000 Sept 2026 $730 calls for $11.23
7/3/25 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) also 20K of the $750 calls bought at $7.37, large upside bets betting on longer term move
7/3/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) buyers of 1250 Nov $620 calls at $5.93 to $6.15
7/3/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) large buyer of 2000 March $70 calls at $8.15 offer, over $1.6M
7/3/25 Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) sees 3000 August $224 calls bought at $6.43 offer sweeps
7/3/25 On Holding (ONON) opening sale 700 March $47.50 puts for 4.23
7/3/25 Carnival (CCL) buyers of 8250 Jan 2027 $40 OTM calls $3.50 to $3.60
7/3/25 Norwegian Cruise (NCLH) more bull flow as 2200 Dec $21 calls buying 3.65 offers
7/3/25 Uber (UBER) buyers July 25th (W) $100 calls 4000X 1.13
7/3/25 Netflix (NFLX) buyer 600 Jan $1380 calls $112.70 to $115
7/3/25 EQT (EQT) 1940 Dec $48 puts sell to open for $2.10
7/3/25 First Solar (FSLR) buyer 4000 Sept $280 calls $1.55 offer
7/3/25 Wells Fargo (WFC) offer sweep buys 2650 Dec $85 calls $5.90 to $6
7/3/25 Shift4 Payments (FOUR) sees 1510 August $115 calls buy $3.03 as July 97.5 adjust out and up
7/3/25 Gilead Sciences (GILD) 3500 Jan $140 calls bought $1.32
7/3/25 Teck Resources (TECK) opening sales of 500 June 2026 $42.50 puts at $5.60
7/3/25 Micron (MU) buyer of 1000 August 1st (W) $129 calls $3.10 to $3.15
7/3/25 Advanced Micro (AMD) buyer 2000 July $137 calls $4.80 offer
7/3/25 Nvidia (NVDA) July 25th (W) $157.50 calls size buys $5.85 offer trading over 5K contracts
7/3/25 Nvidia (NVDA) buyer 12,000 Jan 2027 $210 calls $19.69 and sells 12,000 of the $120 puts $11.90 in a massive bull risk reversal
7/3/25 Palantir (PLTR) aggressive buyer 2000 July $134 calls $5.85 offer
7/3/25 Palantir (PLTR) August 8th (W) $135 calls bought 1275X for $1.45M
7/3/25 Synopsys (SNPS) buyer 400 Dec $530 calls for $2.65M
7/3/25 Google (GOOG) seller to open 550 Jan 2027 $165 puts for $16.40
7/3/25 Qualcomm (QCOM) size buy 1200 June 2026 $175 calls $17.15 offer
7/3/25 Oracle (ORCL) sees 1375 Dec $160 puts sell to open 2.84
7/3/25 IonQ (IONQ) 1650 Aug 8th (W) $44 calls buy 5.25 to 5.40
7/3/25 Amazon (AMZN) 3000 Aug 8th (W) $240 calls bought $3.50 to $3.72
7/3/25 NextEra Energy (NEE) 1600 August $72.5 puts sell to open 1.78
7/2/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) 2500 Sept $68 ITM puts sell to open at $8.49
7/2/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) also 2500 August $66 ITM puts sold to open $5.96 to $5.91
7/2/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) buyer of 2900 Sept 30th (Q) $65 calls at $4.60 to $4.65
7/2/25 Regional Banks ETF (KRE) large buyers of 3000 June 2026 $75 calls at $2.35 to $2.49 offer sweeps
7/2/25 Brazil ETF (EWZ) buyers of 5000 Oct $29 calls at $1.46 to $1.53
7/2/25 Euro Stoxx 50 ETF (FEZ) bullish opening sale 2000 Jan 2027 $60 puts for 4.90
7/2/25 Vanguard Total Market ETF (VTI) buyer 1000 Jan $330 calls $4.80 to $5
7/2/25 China ETF (FXI) 8000 June 2026 $33 puts sold to open 1.80
7/2/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) size buy 1650 Aug. 1st (W) $550 calls $12.60
7/2/25 Energy ETF (XLE) buyer 2000 Nov $90/$100 call spreads at $2.65
7/2/25 Small Cap Bull 3X ETF (TNA) 2000 August $37 calls bought at $2.52 offers
7/2/25 Philip Morris (PM) buyer 2500 August $200 calls $1
7/2/25 General Motor (GM) buyer 600 March 52.5/57.5 call spreads
7/2/25 Roblox (RBLX) buyer of 2500 August $120/$130 call spreads at $1.49
7/2/25 Steve Madden (SHOO) recent bull flow sees 2000 August $30 calls buy
7/2/25 Archer Daniels (ADM) sees 1250 Jan 2027 $65 calls bought $3.90
7/2/25 Bunge (BG) with aggressive 1000 Jan 2026 $85 calls bought $5.40 offer sweeps
7/2/25 Scotts Miracle (SMG) sees 2500 August $75 calls bought 2.20 to 2.25
7/2/25 On Holding (ONON) opening sale of 500 October $52.50 puts at $3.95 bids
7/2/25 Shopify (SHOP) opening sale 1050 Nov $120 puts $16.70 as bull flow continues there
7/2/25 Carvana (CVNA) 1500 July 25th (W) $350/$400 bull call spreads opening
7/2/25 AppLovin (APP) 300 January $320 puts sold to open for 53.80
7/2/25 Carnival (CCL) 1500 Oct $30 calls bought $2.38 to $2.50
7/2/25 McDonald’s (MCD) buyer 1275 August 8th (W) $295 calls 8.45 offer
7/2/25 Coinbase (COIN) 200 Dec 2027 $520 calls bought at $94.55
7/2/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) sees 2200 Feb $90 calls buy at $26.72 as the Sept $43 calls adjust
7/2/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) 2050 August $120 calls w/ buyers
7/2/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) also buyers of 2000 August $130 calls at $3.65 to $3.75
7/2/25 Robinhood Markets (HOOD) buyers of 3500 Nov $105 calls $6M
7/2/25 MicroStrategy (MSTR) 15,500 Sept $385 calls buy as July $370 adjust
7/2/25 MicroStrategy (MSTR) also an opening seller of 350 Feb $380 puts at $70
7/2/25 Goldman Sachs (GS) opening seller 1000 Jan $850 calls at $17
7/2/25 Goldman Sachs (GS) 150 Sept 2026 $760 puts sold to open for 102.80
7/2/25 Galaxy Digital (GLXY) sees 2000 Jan $22.50 calls bought at $6
7/2/25 Galaxy Digital (GLXY) also 1500 March $22.50 calls bought at $6.90 offers
7/2/25 Procept BioRobotics (PRCT) aggressive buying of 2000 July $60 calls
7/2/25 GE Aerospace (GE) buyer of 5000 July 25th (W) $470 calls for $2.47
7/2/25 MP Materials (MP) seeing 2420 Sept 40/50 call spreads bought
7/2/25 Google (GOOG) massive early trade sells 6000 Dec $170 puts to open $10.50 to $10.05
7/2/25 Apple (AAPL) 2000 July 212.50 puts sold to open 4.56
7/2/25 Adobe (ADBE) 1500 Sept $325 puts selling to open down to $5.25
7/2/25 Micron (MU) opening sales of 1900 Jan $160 ITM puts at $42.80 to $42.50
7/2/25 Nvidia (NVDA) 1150 Dec 2027 $310 calls sell to open $12.80
7/2/25 Taiwan Semi (TSM) size buys 3900 Sept $250 calls for $3.5M
7/2/25 CoreWeave (CRWV) opening seller of 1100 August 1st $157.50 ITM puts at $24
7/2/25 Palantir (PLTR) with 2500 March $97.50 puts sell to open at $10.05 bids
7/2/25 KLA Corp (KLAC) buyer 300 Sept $920 calls 61.40 to 62.60
7/2/25 NRG Energy (NRG) opening 1756 Sept $180/$140 bull risk reversals for a $0.30 credit
7/2/25 Nebius Group (NBIS) spread sells to open 300 March $38 puts for $6.69 to buy 300 March $50/$75 call spreads at $6.69