Topics covered:
1) 0:00 Announcements
2) 0:40 Market Commentary and Index Review (Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Russell 2000)
3) 7:00 FOCUS LIST: ISRG, META, PLTR, LLY, UBER
4) 9:40 Stock Review – Aerospace/Defense: ASTS, RKLB, BKSY, PL, RDW, LUNR, HWM, GE, RTX
5) 11:45 Stock Review – Others/General Ideas/Commentary: NVDA, AVGO, TSM, IGV, EXPE, MA, V, NET, DOCS, FTNT, CHKP, NTNX, RBRK, SPOT, NFLX, BROS, GRAL, GH, WGS, INOD, HOOD, TPB, MP, TW
6) 19:30 Conclusion/Summary
Market Summary:
In this video, I review the following 4 bullet points: 1) In recent videos, I said “defense, defense, defense.” Why? For two reasons: A) Most of the major indexes are below their 50-day moving averages. B) Many growth stocks are showing poor price action. 2) I review the Market Note I sent on Wednesday, February 26th. I basically remind members to protect confidence and to not beat yourselves up. It’s not just the speculative sectors (such as space, quantum computing, and bitcoin) that got hit over the past month, but it’s also many widely held stocks such as AMZN, GOOGL, NVDA, and TSLA. 3) What’s next? Patience until we see a follow through day and the price action of stocks improves. 4) Conclusion: Stay defense, but don’t get too bearish. If you are going to trade, please keep your positions light until we see better health in the market.
Overall, I’m curious to see if this recent drop down to the 200-day for the Nasdaq Composite created enough fear in the market, or if we have more downside coming. I’m doing my best to stay optimistic, but I would still like to see the market prove itself before increasing my exposure. If you have any questions, you can ask them during the next LIVE webinar which will be this Saturday, March 8th at 11AM EST. Thank you and good luck for the remainder of the week.
Unusual Options Activity:
3/5/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) sees 6000 March 31st $500 calls bought at $11.04 as the April $525 calls adjust
3/5/25 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) buyer of 1315 July 31st $545 deep ITM calls at $51.32 as June 30th $570 calls adjust
3/5/25 Oil & Gas ETF (XOP) buyers of 2500 April $120 calls at $4.95 to $5.41
3/5/25 On Holding (ONON) buyer of 1200 July $62.50 calls at $3.03
3/5/25 Tesla (TSLA) sees 2500 June $275 puts sell for $34.62
3/5/25 Coca Cola (KO) opening seller of 4661 August $75 calls at $1.57
3/5/25 Uber (UBER) unusual buyer of 3350 May $100 calls at $0.52
3/5/25 Cheniere Energy (LNG) opening seller of 1350 April $185 puts at $1.70
3/5/25 JP Morgan (JPM) with 4900 May $230 puts sell to open at $5.40
3/5/25 Citigroup (C) opening sales of 12,750 May $65 puts at $1.65
3/5/25 Medtronic (MDT) sees 1300 Jan $87.50 puts sell to open $4.50
3/5/25 Amazon (AMZN) buyer of 825 March 28th $200 ITM calls at $14
3/5/25 Arm Holdings (ARM) sees 2300 July $140 calls sell to open at $10.65
3/5/25 Nebius Group (NBIS) buyer 1000 May $31 calls at $5.30
3/5/25 Cloudflare (NET) opening sale of 500 June $140 puts at $16.30 to $15.70
3/5/25 On Semi (ON) opening sales of 4000 October $40 puts at $3.90
3/5/25 Micron (MU) opening sale of 9500 April 11th $70 puts at $0.97
3/5/25 Nvidia (NVDA) massive adjustment of 100,000 April $120 calls rolling out to 100k June $120 calls bought at $12.14
3/5/25 Nvidia (NVDA) also sees a large buyer of 4950 June 2026 $165 calls at $14.25
3/5/25 Dell (DELL) 1300 Sept $115 calls sell to open $7.55
3/5/25 AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) sees 1250 April $35 calls buying $3 to $3.30
3/5/25 AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) also 1300 June $25 puts sell to open $4.00 as Jan short puts adjust
3/5/25 Vertiv (VRT) large opening seller of 10,900 May $70 puts at $3.66
3/5/25 Vistra (VST) opening seller of 300 Jan 2027 $105 puts at $23.10
3/5/25 NextEra Energy (NEE) opening seller for 1000 October $67.50 puts at $4.61
3/4/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) buyer 15,000 April $505 calls at $12.60, over $16M
3/4/25 Bitcoin ETF (BITO) buyers of 3000 Jan 2027 $14 ITM calls at $5.55
3/4/25 China Internet ETF (KWEB) 1150 January $35 puts sell to open 4.75 bids
3/4/25 China 3x Long ETF (YINN) buyers of 1450 Oct $41 calls at $9.80
3/4/25 Regional Banks ETF (KRE) buyer 3000 June $59 calls $4.10 against 6000 of the $67 calls
3/4/25 Gold Miners ETF (GDX) 2450 Jan $42 puts sell to open 5.20 bids
3/4/25 Treasury ETF (TLT) big opening sellers of 18,000 April 4th (W) $88.5 calls
3/4/25 Philip Morris (PM) 5000 June $165 calls sell to open 5.80 to 5.45
3/4/25 Lululemon (LULU) 1150 June $330 short puts opening for $3.2M premium as March $340 adjust
3/4/25 Trade Desk (TTD) 500 March 2026 $65 puts sold to open 12.45 to 11.70
3/4/25 Occidental Petro (OXY) 700 June $42.5 ITM calls buy 4.80 to 4.95
3/4/25 JP Morgan (JPM) 10,000 April $230 puts sell to open 4.05 to 3.85
3/4/25 Citigroup (C) buyer 10,000 June 82.5/87.5 call spreads
3/4/25 Goldman Sachs (GS) block of 4600 April $475 puts sell to open at $4.35
3/4/25 Bristol Myers (BMY) opening sale of 1000 Nov $55 puts at $3.32
3/4/25 Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) with 1000 August $27.50 puts sell to open at $6.90,
3/4/25 Howmet Aerospace (HWM) 1000 May $135 calls bought $5 as April 125 adjust
3/4/25 Archer Aviation (ACHR) 12,000 July $8 puts sell to open 1.90
3/4/25 Archer Aviation (ACHR) also 14,000 July $7 puts selling to open
3/4/25 Taiwan Semi (TSM) sees 3400 May $210 calls sell to open $4.10
3/4/25 Arm Holdings (ARM) buyer 1000 April $110/$140 call spreads for $13.20
3/4/25 Broadcom (AVGO) sellers of April $160 puts 3000X $4.30 to $4.20
3/4/25 Nvidia (NVDA) 7000 April 11th (W) $130 calls sold to open 3.25
3/4/25 Vertiv (VRT) 7900 July $65 puts sell to open $5.85 as Mar 28th (W) adjust
3/4/25 Alibaba (BABA) 1250 Sept $115 puts sell to open $8.81
3/4/25 Micron (MU) 1000 June 2026 $60 puts sell to open $5.40
3/4/25 Super Micro (SMCI) 1000 June $37 puts sell to open $6.96
3/4/25 Palantir (PLTR) spread bought 1500 August $110 calls $7.65 and sold 3000 of the $70 puts to open $9.25
3/4/25 Marvell Tech (MRVL) opening sale 3000 June $110 calls at $5.11
3/4/25 Oracle (ORCL) seller 400 Jan 2027 $130 puts to open 15.10
3/4/25 Dell (DELL) 800 Oct $85 puts sold to open for 8.35
3/4/25 Constellation Energy (CEG) 2250 May $190 short puts open as March 14th (W) 225 adjust
3/3/25 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) large buyer of 10,000 March 2026 $650 calls at $19.60
3/3/25 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) 4500 Sept $560 calls sell to open at $13.26
3/3/25 Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) large buyer of 9000 Dec $217 calls at $17.29 to $17.59 as the $260 calls adjust
3/3/25 Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) 10,000 April $52/$62 call spreads bought
3/3/25 Bitcoin ETF (BITO) opening seller of 1100 June $19 puts at $2.25
3/3/25 Walmart (WMT) 2000 April 11th (W) $96 puts sell to open 1.66
3/3/25 Baker Hughes (BKR) buyers of 1800 May $40 ITM calls for $5.75 to $5.90
3/3/25 Chevron (CVX) 10,000 May $170 calls sold to open 2.02
3/3/25 Mastercard (MA) buyer of 900 May $600 calls at $14.09 as March $585 calls adjust
3/3/25 Morgan Stanley (MS) with 720 Dec $150 calls bought 7.60 to 7.65
3/3/25 Amgen (AMGN) opening sale of 5000 May $340 calls at $4.16
3/3/25 AstraZeneca (AZN) buyer 3000 June $80 calls $2.80
3/3/25 J&J (JNJ) 12,000 May $175 calls sold to open 2.27 to 2.22
3/3/25 Meta (META) with 1000 April 4th $585 puts sell to open $4.66
3/3/25 Broadcom (AVGO) opening sellers 2000 March 14th (W) $197.50 calls $11 to $10.60
3/3/25 Amazon (AMZN) buyer 2150 Jan 2027 $210 calls $45.30
3/3/25 Salesforce (CRM) buyer 1000 March $305 calls $6.75 to $6.85
3/3/25 Nebius Group (NBIS) 600 August $28 puts sell to open $5.30
3/3/25 Arm Holdings (ARM) 3000 June 2026 $105 puts sell to open 17.45 to 17.40
3/3/25 Google (GOOG) buyer 300 December 2027 $150 calls for $54.80
3/3/25 Dell (DELL) 600 March 2026 $80 puts sold to open 7.85
3/3/25 Microsoft (MSFT) buyer 1200 March 2026 $500 calls $12.85
3/3/25 Vertiv (VRT) 400 March 2026 $75 puts sell to open 12.50 to 12.35