Link to July seasonality statistic: https://x.com/zerohedge/status/1806656651379757551
Topics covered:
1) 0:00 Announcements
2) 0:15 Market Commentary and Index Review (Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and Russell 2000)
3) 4:00 FOCUS LIST: NVDA, DELL, MSFT, WING, LLY, NVO, CRWD, ISRG, MU, ARM
4) 7:45 Stock Review – Software: IGV (ETF), SNPS, CDNS, APP, PANW, NOW
5) 10:00 Stock Review – Semiconductors: SMH (ETF), TSM, AVGO, KLAC, LRCX, AMAT
6) 10:45 Stock Review – Medical Products: STAA, NTRA, TMDX, HALO
7) 13:10 Stock Review – Watch List/General Ideas/Commentary: FTAI, LDOS, VRTX, CLS, FN, AMSC, COHR, NTAP, PSTG, SIMO, TSLA, RDDT
8) 18:50 Stocks Near Buyable Ranges: DELL, MU, ARM
9) 20:25 Conclusion/Summary
Market Summary:
Just a reminder that the US Stock Market is only open until 1PM EST on Wednesday, July 3rd, and closed on Thursday, July 4th. Overall, this week is a fairly slow week on light volume. As I mentioned in recent videos, I’m not expecting any major movements one way or the other. I’m just doing my best to stick with my stocks, stick with my rules, and stick with the trend. I’m expecting this power trend to last into the middle of July with normal pullbacks along the way. After that, we could see a normal visit to the 50-day moving average, but again, I will take this day-by-day. Overall, I think many of the leading stocks are consolidating well, and on light volume. I review many of them in this video. Thank you and good luck for the remainder of the week. I hope everyone enjoys a little time off this week!
Unusual Option Activity:
7/2/24 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) large early buyer of over 15,000 July $552 calls at $2.16 to $2.35
7/2/24 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 10,000 August 30th (W) $520/$495 put spreads bought
7/2/24 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) 3000 Dec 2026 $415 puts sell to open $11.38
7/2/24 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) seeing 2100 Oct $465 puts sell to open at $8.96
7/2/24 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) also 10,000 July 10th $473/$463 bull put spreads sell for $0.71.
7/2/24 Silver ETF (SLV) with 3000 Dec 31st $33 calls buying at $0.85 offer
7/2/24 Silver ETF (SLV) sweep buyers for over 10,000 Nov $25 calls at $3.20 offer, over $3M
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) 2575 Nov $285 calls with $3.5M premium bought as some positions adjust
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) 3250 July 26th (W) $265 calls bought $4.25 to $4.90
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) 1500 March $360 calls buy $12.49
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) buyers of 4000 Aug 2nd $270 calls at $4.40 to $4.70 as July 12th $240 calls adjust
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) buyer 3175 Sept $320 calls $4.25 adjusting some $250 calls
7/2/24 Tesla (TSLA) buyer 32,000 August $225 calls $20.25 already adjusting the $195 calls from 6/26
7/2/24 Walmart (WMT) 850 March $72.50 calls sell to open $3
7/2/24 Las Vegas Sands (LVS) buyer 500 ITM August $40 calls $3.80
7/2/24 Airbnb (ABNB) 1400 June 2025 $130 puts are sold to open 8.35
7/2/24 Trade Desk (TTD) sees 2000 August $105/$80 bull risk reversals open for $3.11
7/2/24 Marathon Petro (MPC) 500 Jan $175 puts sold to open $13.75
7/2/24 Cheniere Energy (LNG) 500 June 2025 $210 calls are bought $6.30
7/2/24 Occidental (OXY) with 5000 July 26th $62 puts sell to open $1.01
7/2/24 SM Energy (SM) sees 500 February $40 ITM calls buy to open $7.70 offer
7/2/24 Coinbase (COIN) 15,000 August $230 calls are bought $23.75 as July $260 adjust
7/2/24 Visa (V) sees a big buyer 5500 Oct $280 calls $5.55 to $5.60
7/2/24 Eli Lilly (LLY) buyer 200 September $830 calls $95.50 adjusting July $810
7/2/24 Novo Nordisk (NVO) 1150 August $140 calls bought $7.375
7/2/24 Pfizer (PFE) 15,000 Aug. 2nd (W) $26 puts sell to open 0.23
7/2/24 Vaxcyte (PCVX) buyer 2750 Oct $90/$115 call spreads for $6.60
7/2/24 FTAI Aviation (FTAI) with 1000 August $105 calls bought for $8.20 as $90 adjust higher
7/2/24 Reddit (RDDT) with 2150 July $75 calls hot early
7/2/24 Palantir (PLTR) 1480 January $26 calls bought 4.60 offers
7/2/24 MongoDB (MDB) 12370 Sept $220 short puts open $8.37 as July $260 adjust from 5/28
7/2/24 MongoDB (MDB) also 2000 Aug 9th (W) $225 puts selling to open 2.44
7/2/24 Apple (AAPL) 500 August $235 puts sell to open 16.50
7/2/24 Apple (AAPL) buyer 2700 Jan 2026 $245$280 call spreads adjusting lower strikes
7/2/24 Arm Holdings (ARM) 5000 August 2nd $170 calls buying at $8.15 as some August 16th $180 calls adjust
7/2/24 Amazon (AMZN) seeing a buyer of 1000 December 2025 $215 calls at $30
7/2/24 Qualcomm (QCOM) 400 August 9th (W) $200 puts sell to open 10.85
7/2/24 CrowdStrike (CRWD) 400 December 2026 $250 short puts open $30.10 as January 2025 $250 adjust
7/1/24 Tesla (TSLA) buyer of 3300 Nov $265 calls at $12 to $12.65 offers, over $4M
7/1/24 Uber (UBER) 1000 March $70 puts sell to open 7.60
7/1/24 Lyft (LYFT) 2000 May 2025 $13 puts sold to open $2.30
7/1/24 Trade Desk (TTD) opening sale 400 Oct $97.50 puts $8.70 to $8.60
7/1/24 Pinduoduo (PDD) 750 March $120 puts sold to open 10.40
7/1/24 Pinduoduo (PDD) also 650 June 2025 $110 puts selling to open 9.30
7/1/24 Schlumberger (SLB) 1100 Nov $50 calls buy 2.12
7/1/24 Vital Energy (VTLE) unusual buy 350 January 2026 $45 calls $11.20 to $11.40
7/1/24 PayPal (PYPL) seller of 1200 June 2025 52.50 puts $4.95
7/1/24 JP Morgan (JPM) buyers of 450 Nov $215 calls at $7.25 to $7.55, reports next Friday
7/1/24 Cytokinetics (CYTK) 2500 January $75 calls are bought $4.10 to $4.30
7/1/24 Crinetics Pharma (CRNX) 2300 Sept $50 calls sell to open 3.40
7/1/24 Immunovant (IMVT) 1440 Jan $35 calls buy up to $4.10
7/1/24 Teck Resources (TECK) buyer 7000 Sept $50 calls $2.75 as August $55 adjust
7/1/24 Nvidia (NVDA) buyer 4500 Dec $210 calls bought $2.22
7/1/24 Micron (MU) opening seller of 800 Nov $115 puts at $6.35, follows the August put sale Friday
7/1/24 NetApp (NTAP) buyer 1000 September $140 calls $4.18 to $4.20 as bullish OI accumulates
7/1/24 Amazon (AMZN) buyer 2000 Dec. 2026 $250 calls $30.45 as March $230 adjust
7/1/24 Vertiv (VRT) buyer 500 July 26th (W) $85 calls $4.80
7/1/24 Oil & Gas ETF (XOP) large buyers of 5500 July $145 calls at 3.30 offers
7/1/24 Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) buyers of 7500 August 2nd (W) $200 calls for $5.35 and higher for over $4.5M
7/1/24 Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) a massive stock replacement sold to open 9500 August $480 puts at $10.26, over $12M showing confidence at these levels
7/1/24 S&P 500 ETF (SPY) interesting buyers of 12,500 Dec 2025 $700 calls at $3.70 to $3.75, over $4.75M for the ambitious bull playing for a much stronger move into 2025