I discussed the following in a Market Video over the weekend. Here is a summary of the important points: 1) In my 18 years of trading, there have been 4 years where the market grinded higher for almost the entire year: 1999, 2003, 2009 and 2013. It's important to look at what happened the FOLLOWING [...]
Last weekend, I wrote a post about the lack of "New Ideas" in this market. On Tuesday night, I posted a video saying I was "short-term cautious." I know it hasn't paid to say ANYTHING bearish over the past 18 months because EVERY DIP has been bought, but this pullback feels different. I'm noticing that [...]
1) On Monday afternoon, I heard the financial media say there was too much risk in holding stocks overnight. If you listened to them, then you probably got scared and sold some of your stocks. 2) If you watched or listened to the price action, you would have seen that volume was light and many [...]
When humans stress, we all have the need to reach for something. For some it's food, a cigarette, alcohol, coffee, drugs, gambling or anything else that might put us in a different state of mind so we don't have to deal with our problems. This isn't an article about psychology because I am not a [...]
Last August, I wrote a blog post titled 5 Stocks That Could Be Higher By Year-End. From the time of the post through year-end, here is how the stocks performed: $NFLX +41.7% $SPLK +37.3% $CMG +32.0% $HLF +26.4% $EOG +9.9% During the same period, the S&P 500 was up +12.3%. I am writing this post to [...]
About 3 years ago, I met Joe Kunkle and he described his OptionsHawk service to me. I decided to sign up and I've been hooked on it ever since. In interest of full disclosure, I am not affiliated with his service or company. I simply want to pass along a great resource that I use [...]
First of all, this is NOT a prediction post. I used to post them for fun in the past, but that's all they were...for fun. I'm not a big fan of predictions because 1) NO ONE knows where the market it going and 2) We are all allowed to change our minds based on the information [...]
90% of your success as a trader should come from the work, research and effort you put in OUTSIDE of market hours. That's why I recommend traders do post analysis of their work and study market history. Since 2013 was a very strong year for the markets, we could possibly see some profit taking in January [...]
Back in 1999, there was an Internet company called CMGI. For those of you who remember, the stock was INSANE! Split adjusted, it went from 0.30 cents to $120. After this happened, I spoke to a very sharp friend of mine who was managing a $2 Billion hedge fund. His exact words were: "Joe, this [...]
I've been trading for 18 years. The beautiful part about it is that I am ALWAYS learning. The second you think you know everything and have the stock market all figured out, you're dead! The lesson I am about to share is not a "new" lesson, but rather, one that has been reinforced this year. [...]