Barack Obama will do everything in his power to keep the U.S. stock market up until the end of his Presidency. He inherited an economy that was in a recession, and his number one priority is to leave the U.S. better off "by every economic measure" than it was when he took office. Now before [...]
The Biotech sector has been a leading group for years now. I get many questions on how to trade these stocks, so here are a few tips: 1) DO NOT trade anything you are not comfortable with. There is nothing worse than being nervous in a position. Why? Because we tend to make horrible decisions [...]
As I have mentioned for the last year or two, I still think the Nasdaq Composite eventually gets to its old March 2000 high of around 5100-5200. It will probably get there over the next 6-18 months, however, it will not be an easy ride up. There will be pullbacks, shakeouts, and quick corrections along [...]
I sent this note out to my clients earlier in the week. If you are interested in our Managed Account Products, please email me at: jfahmy@zorcapital.com. After QE-1 ended, the market dropped -17%. After QE-2 ended, the market dropped -21%. Now that Operation Twist/QE-3 is over, many believe the market will drop again. In my [...]
The following Fox Business video is a market discussion with Charlie Gasparino, Liz Claman, and me. Watch the latest video at video.foxbusiness.com I can be reached at: jfahmy@zorcapital.com. Follow me on Twitter @jfahmy Follow me on StockTwits @jfahmy
For the past month, I have been cautious on the market for one main reason: Too much distribution. Since I first mentioned it on this blog, the institutional selling has accelerated and the Nasdaq Composite has now seen 15 distribution days in the past 31 trading sessions (since 9/3/14). I am NOT saying a crash is [...]
This article is mostly for traders who vary their investment levels. If you are a passive long-term investor who is fully invested at all times, just realize that there are sacrifices. In other words, you might ride things up or down longer than you expect. That's why it's important to define yourself and have conviction in [...]
In a Blog Post on September 22, I wrote: "If you are a trader, there is nothing wrong with raising some cash and waiting for more positive signs to appear." Since then, the market has continued to see distribution (professional selling). Last Thursday and Friday (10/2 and 10/3), the market bounced from an oversold condition [...]
Today (10/2/14), the market sold off early but rallied back on strong volume. Here are my thoughts: 1) I like how the Russell 2000 $IWM undercut the low it made earlier this year (2/5/14) and outperformed today. The index has led us on the way down. Now, we need to see if it can lead [...]
Here is a pattern I have noticed in the market about 10 times over the past 2 years: 1) The market goes on a 3-6 week run. 2) The run usually stalls when we get extended from the moving averages, bullishness increases (based on many sentiment measures), and active investment managers are aggressively long the [...]