Carl Icahn is one of the best investors ever. He says in order to be the best at something, you have to be a little obsessed. One thing I am obsessed about is achieving superior returns in the stock market. The first question you might ask is: “Isn’t everyone?” Surprisingly, the answer is no. The [...]
I received a great email last week about sentiment. The question was: “What do you do when two different sentiment measures conflict?” For example, the NAAIM survey (a measure of active manager investment levels) has been declining lately, but Investors Intelligence (a measure of newsletter sentiment) shows an increasing number of bulls. See charts below. [...]
There is something big going on in the stock market. It’s something bigger than most people realize. I like to call it The Perfect Storm. It’s a favorable combination of technicals, fundamentals, global growth, interest rates, sentiment, a pro-business government, and a new technological revolution. The reason I’m excited about it is I’ve been around [...]
1) The first type is the investor who is sitting out, mostly in cash, barely invested, or refuses to participate. They either feel the market is overvalued or we are about to crash any day. It’s impossible to help these people because they have already made up their mind about what the market SHOULD do [...]
I screen the market every night looking for strong fundamental and technical stocks. One thing I try to identify is themes and leading sectors. Over the past two months, I have noticed more and more Biotech stocks showing up on my screens. Not only are they setting up technically, but they are also breaking out [...]
Here is the video clip from my Yahoo Finance appearance on their Final Round show on 9/20/17. I joined host Jen Rogers and Yahoo Finance Editor-in-Chief Andy Serwer for the first half of the show. I can be reached at: jfahmy@zorcapital.com
No one thought he was going to run for President, and he did. No one thought he would ever get the Republican nomination, and he did. No one sure as heck ever thought he would win the Presidency, and he did. When he did win, the majority of pundits thought the stock market would crash, [...]
One of the greatest trading books ever written is Reminiscences of a Stock Operator. The original book was published in 1923, but in 2010, an Annotated Edition was produced by Jon Markman. This edition reveals the truth about Jesse Livermore and provides colorful, historically accurate commentary on the characters, places, and events that have made [...]
There is an area of the stock market that very few people talk about: Psychology. While fundamentals and technicals are important, one could argue that psychology is even more important because the market tends to fool the majority. In other words, it is important to know what the majority of people are thinking and to [...]
We will continue to see more upside into year-end for the following reasons: 1) Strength leads to more strength. Traditionally, when the early parts of the year are strong, the strength continues into year-end. For example, since 1945, January and February have both been positive 27 times (as it was this year). The market finished [...]