The Biggest Question On Traders’ Minds
The market has bounced nicely the past two days after the Brexit selloff. Now, here's the biggest question on traders' minds: Is this just a normal oversold bounce before the market heads lower? Or was the Brexit selloff just an overreaction and a non-event before we go higher? Of course, no one knows the answer to this question, but there is one thing which continues to favor the Bulls: During every selloff over the past [...]
Reviewing the Market’s Positives and Negatives
I always keep an open mind when it comes to the stock market. I look at the positive and negative signs and adjust my client's investment levels accordingly. I was fairly constructive on the market coming into last week, mainly because the price action was very strong. Unfortunately, the Brexit vote caught many people off guard (including myself) and I was forced to reduce exposure for my clients. Let's review the current signs: NEGATIVES: 1) [...]
Shut Out The Noise
Back in December 2012, there was non-stop talk about the Fiscal Cliff. Everyone was on edge and the market would experience sudden movements on any headline or politician commenting about the year-end vote. When the vote passed, the market gapped up +2.5% on January 2, 2013 and didn't look back. So many fund managers were left in the dust because they raised cash ahead of the event and waited for a pullback which never came. [...]
Market Resilience
I stick to my call that the Dow will reach 20,000 by year-end. Do I think it will be a straight line up? Of course not. Will we see shakeouts, pullbacks and quick corrections along the way? Absolutely. However, since I made the call (around Dow 17,500), the market has been very resilient, especially considering all the negative headlines: Terror attacks in Brussels, Fed speakers hinting at a rate hike as soon as April, and [...]
No One On Wall Street Is Making This Call
For the past month, I've been telling people that the market is going much higher and they all look at me like I have 3 heads and I'm speaking a foreign language. I am one of the only people on Wall St calling for a 10-20% rise this year and here are my 4 reasons the Dow will reach 20,000 by year-end: 1) Psychology - No one is expecting a significant move higher and the [...]
No One Is Bullish
Here is a quick recap of what's happened so far this year: January started with a 10% correction and many potential investors I spoke to were borderline suicidal. That's not an exaggeration. They couldn't sleep, they couldn't eat, and many cashed out near the lows. I think their emotional reaction was due to a market that has seen little volatility from 2013-2015. Therefore, when a quick 10% correction occurred, it felt worse than it really [...]