Last Friday afternoon, Reuters ran a story about Jeffrey Gundlach, the chief executive of DoubleLine Capital. He is advising people to "sell everything" because "nothing here looks good." While I have tremendous respect for Mr. Gundlach, I completely disagree with this statement for the following reasons: 1) For a guy who is nicknamed the "Bond King," he seems to have many strong opinions about the equity markets. He's a genius in the fixed income markets, [...]

At the beginning of the month, I posted my 2016 Second Half Outlook. I know it is VERY early, but so far the blueprint is working out well: 1) The Brexit decline at the end of June may have been the last shakeout before the market finally breaks out of its two-years range. Many times before big price moves in stocks/markets, quick pullbacks occur to shakeout the weak hands. 2) It wouldn’t surprise me if we make new [...]

I keep reading that we are in the 7th year of a Bull Market. I don't buy it! Why? Because we have been in a Bear Market for the past year. Although the S&P 500 didn't correct by the popular "Bear Market definition" of -20%, the majority of stocks got decimated beneath the surface. Energy stocks corrected -50%, Biotech -40%, Financials -25%, and Small and Mid Cap stocks -25% over the past year. In addition, [...]

In the past two years, the S&P 500 has essentially gone nowhere, frustrating the majority of investors. We have seen three "V bottoms" (shown in the chart below) where the market shoots down about -10% (resulting in losses), only to grind right back up as if nothing happened. Also, beneath the surface, many sectors corrected significantly during the past two years: Energy -50%, Biotech -40%, and Small Caps -25%. With regards to traders, many are [...]

The market has bounced nicely the past two days after the Brexit selloff. Now, here's the biggest question on traders' minds: Is this just a normal oversold bounce before the market heads lower? Or was the Brexit selloff just an overreaction and a non-event before we go higher? Of course, no one knows the answer to this question, but there is one thing which continues to favor the Bulls: During every selloff over the past [...]

I always keep an open mind when it comes to the stock market. I look at the positive and negative signs and adjust my client's investment levels accordingly. I was fairly constructive on the market coming into last week, mainly because the price action was very strong. Unfortunately, the Brexit vote caught many people off guard (including myself) and I was forced to reduce exposure for my clients. Let's review the current signs: NEGATIVES: 1) [...]