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	<title>Joe Fahmy The Next Big Move &#187; SWM</title>
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		<title>Stocks Holding Up Well</title>
		<link>http://joefahmy.com/2010/02/02/stocks-holding-up-well/</link>
		<comments>http://joefahmy.com/2010/02/02/stocks-holding-up-well/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 18:26:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe Fahmy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ASH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BEXP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CLNE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DNDN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EVVV]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GMCR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IMAX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MAPP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PAY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PNRA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PRX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RUE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SWM]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joefahmy.com/?p=1190</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I constantly use the phrase: &#8220;Don&#8217;t get too bullish or too bearish.&#8221; It doesn’t make sense to always be Bullish or Bearish because the market [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I constantly use the phrase: &#8220;Don&#8217;t get too bullish or too bearish.&#8221; It doesn’t make sense to always be Bullish or Bearish because the market is not always in an uptrend or a downtrend. I prefer to look objectively at both the positive and negative signs, and invest accordingly.</p>
<p>Although I feel there may be more downside to this correction, I am keeping a close eye on the stocks that are holding up well. I actually don&#8217;t mind when the market corrects because that&#8217;s when the strong stocks stand out. For example, over the past two &#8220;down&#8221; weeks, I&#8217;ve been paying special attention to the stocks holding &#8220;up&#8221; well with the theory that when the market is done correcting, these stocks should continue higher. In other words, the recent correction is acting like a &#8220;spring&#8221; compressing these stocks down. Once the market relieves this tension, these stocks could breakout to new highs.</p>
<p>This is one of my favorite ways to use Relative Strength. You can read more in my blog post from last October titled: <a href="http://joefahmy.com/the-three-ways-i-use-relative-strength/">The Three Ways I Use Relative Strength</a>.</p>
<p>Here is a current watch list of stocks holding up well: <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/GMCR" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>GMCR</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/DNDN" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>DNDN</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/CLNE" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>CLNE</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/EVVV" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>EVVV</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/ISRG" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>ISRG</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/BEXP" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>BEXP</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/SWM" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>SWM</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/ASH" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>ASH</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/PRX" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>PRX</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/RUE" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>RUE</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/MAPP" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>MAPP</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/PAY" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>PAY</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/IMAX" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>IMAX</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/PNRA" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>PNRA</a>.</p>
<p>I am not saying to go out and buy these stocks right now. I am simply encouraging you to keep an open mind and to maintain a watch list of stocks that are holding up well during this correction. Again, I still feel there could be more downside, but be ready to pounce on strong ideas as soon as the selling pressure is finished.</p>
<p>Follow me on Twitter <a href="http://twitter.com/jfahmy">@jfahmy</a>
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		<title>The Upcoming Rally</title>
		<link>http://joefahmy.com/2009/12/19/the-upcoming-rally/</link>
		<comments>http://joefahmy.com/2009/12/19/the-upcoming-rally/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 05:55:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe Fahmy</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AAPL]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AMZN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ARST]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BCSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BIDU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CAVM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CML]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CTSH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FIRE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FTNT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HEAT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[HGSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[INFY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LULU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PCLN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RAX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RDY]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RINO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[STX]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SWM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TRIT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[TTM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UUP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WDC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WIT]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joefahmy.com/?p=870</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I feel the market will breakout to the upside over the next 3-6 weeks. Here are my reasons and some stocks to watch: 1) Big [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I feel the market will breakout to the upside over the next 3-6 weeks. Here are my reasons and some stocks to watch:</p>
<p>1) Big Caps: I have said all along &#8220;watch the action of the Big Caps.&#8221; Why? Because the large institutions traffic in this area and watching these stocks usually shows us what they are doing. Last week <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/GOOG" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>GOOG</a> rose on strong volume and <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/AAPL" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>AAPL</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/ISRG" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>ISRG</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/PCLN" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>PCLN</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/AMZN" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>AMZN</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/BIDU" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>BIDU</a> all pulled back on light volume, a sign that the large funds are not selling their shares yet.</p>
<p>2) <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/AAPL" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>AAPL</a>: After reviewing RIMM&#8217;s earnings Thursday night, I don&#8217;t see how Apple doesn&#8217;t obliterate their upcoming quarter&#8217;s earnings. In their last conference call, Apple said they &#8220;couldn&#8217;t keep up with demand.&#8221; In this economy, there are FEW companies who can say that. I think you can trade Apple as a &#8220;buy the rumor, sell the news&#8221; play. In other words, buy it here at $195 (it should have support in the 186-188 range) and sell it into a potential run to $220 by its earnings in late January.</p>
<p>3) The Dollar rally is over! There is INSANE speculation in the <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/UUP" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>UUP</a> 23 calls for Dec, Jan and Mar. There&#8217;s a reason why the specialists closed it Friday RIGHT ON $23! If you don&#8217;t understand this, don&#8217;t worry about it. All you need to know is that the market tends to fool the majority. In other words, when the entire world speculates the same way, it almost never happens. I don&#8217;t expect the UUP to close above $23 anytime soon. Therefore: Dollar Decline = Stock Market Rally.</p>
<p>4) <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/CML" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>CML</a>: Compellent Technologies. Strong technical Daily and Weekly chart, hot sector, 16 quarters of revenue growth&#8230;sounds &#8220;compelling&#8221; to me! The entire Storage sector is strong (<a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/STX" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>STX</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/WDC" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>WDC</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/CAVM" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>CAVM</a>). You can buy CML here at 22.50, it should have support in the 20-21 range. I&#8217;m expecting the stock to be up 30-50% in the next 12 months.</p>
<p>5) Internet Security: This entire group acted very well this past week. Stocks to watch include: <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/RAX" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>RAX</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/ARST" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>ARST</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/BCSI" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>BCSI</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/FIRE" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>FIRE</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/FTNT" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>FTNT</a> (recent IPO).</p>
<p>6) India: Many Indian-related stocks showed great relative strength this week. Ideas include: <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/WIT" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>WIT</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/RDY" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>RDY</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/CTSH" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>CTSH</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/INFY" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>INFY</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/TTM" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>TTM</a>.</p>
<p>7) China Water/Infrastructure stocks: <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/RINO" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>RINO</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/TRIT" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>TRIT</a> <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/HEAT" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>HEAT</a>. China plans to more than double its spending on environmental protection in the five years from 2011-2015. They plan to invest $454 billion during this period, compared with the $205 billion allocated for the five years between 2006-2010. I expect this increase in spending to benefit these stocks and I look for continued announcements of government contracts to help their strong earnings and sales growth.</p>
<p>8) Miscellaneous ideas: <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/HGSI" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>HGSI</a> (continues to trade in a very tight range, a sign that institutions are not selling shares) <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/LULU" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>LULU</a> (46% of its float is short) <a href="http://stocktwits.com/symbol/SWM" class="ticker" target="_blank"><span>$</span>SWM</a> (strong chart, added to Goldman&#8217;s Conviction Buy List recently).</p>
<p>9) One final note, if I am dead wrong about my call for a market rally, it doesn&#8217;t bother me at all. Why? Because I trade with stops and I don&#8217;t have an ego when it comes to trading. Remember two VERY IMPORTANT trading rules: &#8220;Always cut your losses,&#8221; and “Separate your ego from your trading.” The market doesn&#8217;t care if you have to provide food for your family or if you have 10 kids to put through college. In other words: respect the market, take what it gives you, and ALWAYS protect your portfolio!</p>
<p>Follow me on Twitter <a href="http://twitter.com/jfahmy">@jfahmy</a>
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