1) Stocks are acting very strong technically. Over the past 3-4 weeks, I have suggested to slowly scale into this market. The majority of stocks that I recommended have worked out well and they are now either barely correcting or they are pulling back orderly on light volume. Examples include $GMCR $ISRG $NETL $LULU $IPXL $NFLX $CLNE $ATHR $CAGC $BCSI.

2) The major indexes continue to climb on strong volume and consolidate on light volume, a positive sign in my view.

3) The big institutions continue to put money to work. If you are a large mutual fund or hedge fund, your universe of growth stocks is limited. In other words, you have to buy Big Cap stocks with liquidity. Even if you do not trade these names, it is worth observing them to see what the big boys are doing. The price action in $AAPL $ISRG $GOOG $BIDU $AMZN $PCLN $V $GS is very constructive. The majority of these stocks are breaking out or building new bases to possibly break out over the next 4-8 weeks.

4) The stocks that continue to show up on my fundamental and technical screens cover a wide range of sectors showing me that this recent rally is broad based. Examples include: Tech, Retail, Energy, Semis, Restaurants, etc.

5) Everyone seems to fall into one of two categories. They either hate this rally or they are a cautious bull. I would consider myself the latter. My point is that VERY FEW people are in the crazy bull camp and feel this market has any legs left in it. Keep in mind: “The markets tend to fool the majority.”

A word of caution: I realize the markets have had a nice run over the past few weeks. I am not saying to jump in right now if you are not invested because we could see a pullback. If you did get in recently, hopefully you have decent entry points on your stocks and you have “room” to let your winners ride. If you did not get in, don’t chase extended stocks but rather look to buy them on pullbacks to logical support areas. Overall, I remain positive on this market because of the strong signs listed above.

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Another positive sign is that many of the stocks listed above broke out on strong volume and pulled back today on lighter volume. If you missed some of these breakouts, I feel you can buy them on pullbacks to logical support areas such as their 10-day or 20-day moving averages.

My advice remains the same: If you are not invested in this market, SLOWLY get back in by buying 2 or 3 stocks. If you are invested, SLOWLY increase your market exposure by adding to your positions. The key is to do this SLOWLY! Why? Because if you jump back into the market all at once and chase extended stocks, you increase your chances of getting stopped out of your positions. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the market pullback over the next day or two. If this happens, I plan to take advantage of the opportunity by increasing my investment levels. Why? Because I’m currently finding a large number of stocks that meet my technical and fundamental investment criteria and these stocks could propel the market higher over the next 2-6 weeks.

I also suggest keeping a watch list of strong fundamental companies that are building sound technical bases. Some examples on my watch list include: $CLNE $JAZZ $VPRT $GMCR $MLNX $SHOO $HGSI $SOA.

Please keep in mind that the purpose of this blog is to help people with idea generation. If you trade some of these stocks, PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE use stops. In other words, if some of these stocks turn against you and the market doesn’t cooperate…protect your portfolio! Thank you. Good luck trading!

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Here is my reasoning and some observations over the past few weeks:

1) The most important criteria I use to gauge the market’s health is the action of its leading stocks. Right now, THERE ARE TONS OF SOLID FUNDAMENTAL COMPANIES BUILDING AND BREAKING OUT OF STRONG TECHNICAL BASES!

2) Market Resilience: On Thursday, February 18th, the Fed raised the Discount Rate by 50 basis points but the market shrugged off the news and finished higher the next day. On Thursday, February 25th, the market ignored poor US economic data and fears about Greece’s debt problems to once again rally and close near the highs of the day. The market’s ability to rally in the face of bad news is a “subtle tell” that it wants to go higher.

3) Sentiment indicators shifted from extremely bullish in mid-January to extremely bearish in mid-February. The recent heavy put buying shows there is still plenty of doubt out there.

4) The major market indexes are back above their 50-day moving averages, a sign of health from a technical perspective.

5) Oh yeah, did I mention the number of stocks that are breaking out across several sectors??? Semis: $NETL $ATHR, Big Caps: $ISRG $BIDU $PCLN, China: $CAGC $CTRP, Retail: $DECK $ANN $SKX Miscellaneous: $SNDK $CMG $CTSH $RDWR $SMCI.

Here’s my best advice: I would SLOWLY begin to add to your positions (assuming you’re at a profit on new purchases over the past few weeks and that you have a cushion to work with). DON’T CHASE EXTENDED STOCKS and DON’T JUMP BACK INTO THE MARKET ALL AT ONCE! Why? Because you will just get stopped out on any normal pullback. Keep a list of stocks building sound technical bases and buy them as they begin to breakout. Examples of stocks on my watch list include: $ARST $CLNE $DNDN $VPRT $GMCR $PLXS $HGSI. As always, keep your winners and cut your losers.

Please keep in mind that the purpose of this blog is to help people with idea generation. If you trade some of these stocks, PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE use stops. In other words, if some of these stocks turn against you and the market doesn’t cooperate…protect your portfolio! Thank you. Good luck trading!

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1) The light positions that I took over the past week have worked out well so far: $NETL $CAGC $ISRG $GMCR $NFLX.

2) I took some profits on $NETL into strength on Tuesday and it pulled back on light volume Wednesday. It’s always a good sign when stocks breakout on strong volume and pullback orderly on lighter volume.

3) The NASDAQ Composite rose on higher volume on Friday 2/12 and Wednesday 2/17. They were not big up days, but still a subtle sign of accumulation.

4) Steady put buying shows me that sentiment remains negative. I always pay attention to investor psychology because “the market tends to fool the majority.”

5) Many stocks are trying to build the right side of their bases. I’m not recommending to buy them now but to keep them on your watch list if they “setup” and offer decent low-risk entry points. Examples include: $V $AAPL $ATHR $CLW $FIRE $ARST $IMAX $INFY $CLNE.

6) My stronger ideas that could breakout soon include: $IPXL $EVVV $HGSI $GMCR $MNRO.

I still suggest to remain patient as the market needs time to carve out proper bases. I wouldn’t be surprised to see a “choppy” environment over the near-term for two reasons. First, the NASDAQ may run into some resistance now that it has rallied back to its 50-day moving average. Second, part of base building involves volatility and shakeouts. That’s why I would rather wait for more stocks to continue to build their bases and buy them at the proper “low-risk entry point” rather than buy them now and possibly get shaken out. My best advice is to continue to keep positions light, cut losses on your weaker performing stocks, and wait for more signs of health before increasing your investment levels.

Please keep in mind that the purpose of this blog is to help people with idea generation. If you trade some of these stocks, PLEASE, PLEASE, PLEASE use stops. In other words, if some of these stocks turn against you and the market doesn’t cooperate…protect your portfolio! Thank you. Good luck trading!

Follow me on Twitter @jfahmy