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Market Note to Members (9/9/25)
Here is the Market Note I emailed to Educational Members on 9/9/25. First time members can email support@joefahmy.com for a discount code.
I increased my investment levels on Monday and Tuesday of this week for the following reasons:
1) I like the tight consolidation in the S&P 500 over the past four weeks. I discussed it in this past weekend’s video (9/6/25). Tight consolidation in index and stock charts shows institutional accumulation beneath the surface. Overall, the major indexes continue to hold their key moving averages and there’s very little distribution in this market.
2) We continue to see major AI infrastructure deals and CapEx announcements. Microsoft announced a $17.4B deal with NBIS this week, and Oracle expects their Cloud Infrastructure revenue to grow 8x in the next five years. Many people keep wanting to call the AI trade “dead.” Yes, there will be some slowdowns and many shakeouts along the way, but please keep in mind that we are only a couple hundred billion dollars into a multi-trillion-dollar infrastructure build out.
3) Many stocks that I have been patiently waiting for safer entry points are starting to show up on my screens. Here are some examples (with brief commentary).
*This section is reserved for Educational Members*
I will review this further in Wednesday’s MidWeek Video. Thank you and good luck.
I can be reached at: jfahmy@zorcapital.com.
Disclaimer: This information is issued solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. None of the information contained on this blog constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. From time to time, the content creator or its affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned on this blog. The stocks presented are not to be considered a recommendation to buy any stock. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives. Investors should consult their own financial or investment adviser before trading or acting upon any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Updated Market Thoughts
The best way to summarize my current market views: Shorter-term, expecting a consolidation. Longer-term, we’re still in a strong bull market powered by AI.
1) The Federal Reserve is not going to cut interest rates today and it’s going to be Groundhog Day. Six more weeks of President Trump harassing Fed Chair Powell. Trump won’t fire Powell, but the market’s not going to like the constant nonsense headlines.
2) We are heading into the seasonally weak months of August and September. Some form of consolidation would be expected. This can come through price (a possible normal pullback to the 50-day moving average), or through time (a possible sideways consolidation). Either way, I think it’s worth keeping expectations realistic over the near-term.
3) After this week, the majority of S&P 500 companies will have reported earnings, and the news cycle is going to shift away from fundamentals (earnings) to the bullshit headlines about tariffs, the Fed, interest rates, geopolitical, etc. This could lead to potential volatility over the summer.
4) I mentioned that I reduced my exposure last week to lock in some gains and to help minimize volatility for my clients in case we get a pullback. As always, your portfolio decisions should depend on your timeframe, your risk tolerance, and your overall plan. If you don’t have a plan, I suggest working on one to help you produce consistent gains over the long run.
5) If we do get a pullback, I’m going to put money to work in some of the growth names I like longer term. There are so many stocks with strong fundamentals, accelerating earnings and sales growth, insane bullish options activity, super strong technicals, and are likely going higher over the next 6-12 months. I have core positions in some of these stocks, and I will look to add on logical support. In case you missed it, I wrote about my longer-term bullish thesis in this blog post: https://joefahmy.com/2025/06/29/dont-lose-sight-of-the-bigger-picture
6) I tell my Educational Members this all the time: Actively managing a stock portfolio is not easy and not for everyone. It involves decision making and an incredible amount of mental toughness. Know yourself and what works for your personality and for your overall temperament.
7) Speaking of my Educational Product, the price is going up to $595 on September 1, 2025. From now through August 30th, first time members can use the discount code: take100off for $100 off the current $495 quarterly membership price AND one free month. After you sign up, my web team will add one complimentary month to your membership. Take advantage of this offer before the price increase in September. You can sign up here: https://joefahmy.com/investor-education
I can be reached at: jfahmy@zorcapital.com.
Disclaimer: This information is issued solely for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities. None of the information contained on this blog constitutes a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. From time to time, the content creator or its affiliates may hold positions or other interests in securities mentioned on this blog. The stocks presented are not to be considered a recommendation to buy any stock. This material does not take into account your particular investment objectives. Investors should consult their own financial or investment adviser before trading or acting upon any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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