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Sell Everything???

Last Friday afternoon, Reuters ran a story about Jeffrey Gundlach, the chief executive of DoubleLine Capital. He is advising people to "sell everything" because "nothing here looks good." While I have tremendous respect for Mr. Gundlach, I completely disagree with this statement for the following reasons: 1) For a guy who is nicknamed the "Bond [...]

By |2016-11-26T07:10:47-05:00July 31st, 2016|

Follow Up to Second Half Outlook

At the beginning of the month, I posted my 2016 Second Half Outlook. I know it is VERY early, but so far the blueprint is working out well: 1) The Brexit decline at the end of June may have been the last shakeout before the market finally breaks out of its two-years range. Many times before big [...]

By |2016-11-26T07:10:47-05:00July 25th, 2016|

7th Year of a Bull Market? How about a NEW Bull Market!

I keep reading that we are in the 7th year of a Bull Market. I don't buy it! Why? Because we have been in a Bear Market for the past year. Although the S&P 500 didn't correct by the popular "Bear Market definition" of -20%, the majority of stocks got decimated beneath the surface. Energy [...]

By |2016-11-26T07:10:47-05:00July 19th, 2016|

2016 Second Half Outlook

In the past two years, the S&P 500 has essentially gone nowhere, frustrating the majority of investors. We have seen three "V bottoms" (shown in the chart below) where the market shoots down about -10% (resulting in losses), only to grind right back up as if nothing happened. Also, beneath the surface, many sectors corrected [...]

By |2016-11-26T07:10:47-05:00July 6th, 2016|

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